YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$2.97M
28,975 trades
Smart Whales
320
of 3,007 traders · 2 on both sides
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
13 MARKETS · $54.07M MATCHEDSmart Money
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026
96¢−48¢$8.87M465/506Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026−48¢96¢
$8.87M465/506
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026
2¢+44¢$3.49M209/242Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026+44¢2¢
$3.49M209/242
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026
1¢+44¢$3.40M185/222Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026+44¢1¢
$3.40M185/222
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026←
0¢+37¢$2.97M120/201Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026←+37¢0¢
$2.97M120/201
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026
0¢+31¢$2.75M86/194Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026+31¢0¢
$2.75M86/194
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026
0¢+31¢$3.00M65/147Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026+31¢0¢
$3.00M65/147
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026
0¢+27¢$4.23M63/168Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026+27¢0¢
$4.23M63/168
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026
0¢+40¢$3.53M81/121Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026+40¢0¢
$3.53M81/121
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026
0¢+33¢$3.30M62/124Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026+33¢0¢
$3.30M62/124
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026
0¢+29¢$4.30M41/102Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026+29¢0¢
$4.30M41/102
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026
0¢+34¢$4.96M49/96Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026+34¢0¢
$4.96M49/96
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
128 YESvs194 NO
40%60%
60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 89% YES by dollars · 61 YES vs 42 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%· net of hedges
+7 new YES$0+9 new NO$90
$0 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$98 of $8.9K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $7.9K·NO $950YES Team
Total Invested
$12.0K
Avg Win Rate
62.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$7.6K(-63.6%)
Whales
128
T
Trading4Fridge🥇
Entry 10¢·42,348.2 shares
Invested
$4.4K
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
$-4254
$-4254INV $4.4K · WR 57.4%
M
mr-green-tea🥈
Entry 25¢·2,000 shares
Invested
$500
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
$-495
$-495INV $500 · WR 65.1%
M
mihailk🥉
Entry 25¢·1,600 shares
Invested
$400
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-396
$-396INV $400 · WR 68.2%
4
0x4e25605f...hedged
Entry 8¢·4,777.7 shares·also $47 on NO
Invested
$378
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
$-366
$-366INV $378 · WR 69.4%
M
mombil◆Proven
Entry 25¢·1,215.1 shares
Invested
$303
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
$-300
$-300INV $303 · WR 60.4%
B
Bloombergg
Entry 27¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$270
Win Rate
61.4%
Position P&L
$-268
$-268INV $270 · WR 61.4%
C
Copezilla
Entry 2¢·14,796 shares
Invested
$263
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
$-227
$-227INV $263 · WR 70.5%
Q
Qwe66
Entry 30¢·766 shares
Invested
$229
Win Rate
67.9%
Position P&L
$-227
$-227INV $229 · WR 67.9%
H
haruk098
Entry 8¢·1,905 shares
Invested
$152
Win Rate
76.0%
Position P&L
$-147
$-147INV $152 · WR 76.0%
C
Capital-Endoderm
Entry 8¢·1,728.9 shares
Invested
$136
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
$-132
$-132INV $136 · WR 60.4%
Showing top 10 of 128
NO Team
Total Invested
$213.8K
Avg Win Rate
83.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$330.2K(+154.4%)
Whales
194
I
influenz.eth🥇
Entry 65¢·87,500.7 shares
Invested
$56.8K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$30455
+$30455INV $56.8K · WR 85.8%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 59¢·28,070 shares
Invested
$16.5K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$11529
+$11529INV $16.5K · WR 85.9%
D
0xd32ce89f...◆Proven🥉
Entry 98¢·13,312.7 shares
Invested
$13.0K
Win Rate
83.5%
Position P&L
+$259
+$259INV $13.0K · WR 83.5%
N
Novus0rdoSeclorum
Entry 91¢·11,518.2 shares
Invested
$10.5K
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
+$967
+$967INV $10.5K · WR 83.8%
B
Bigggggggg
Entry 25¢·38,942.1 shares
Invested
$9.9K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$28993
+$28993INV $9.9K · WR 85.8%
B
balthazar
Entry 99¢·9,922.9 shares
Invested
$9.8K
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$98
+$98INV $9.8K · WR 72.2%
I
i18z
Entry 96¢·9,699.1 shares
Invested
$9.3K
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
+$345
+$345INV $9.3K · WR 87.1%
R
rainbowlilies
Entry 8¢·98,220.2 shares
Invested
$7.9K
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
+$90057
+$90057INV $7.9K · WR 84.8%
M
melchior1248
Entry 91¢·7,305.3 shares
Invested
$6.7K
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$635
+$635INV $6.7K · WR 69.2%
K
korda77
Entry 99¢·5,945.6 shares
Invested
$5.9K
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
+$55
+$55INV $5.9K · WR 85.2%
Showing top 10 of 194
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