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140 days left

Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$531.1K
6,570 trades
Smart Whales
190
of 1,277 traders

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

6 MARKETS · $3.76M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

60 YESvs130 NO
32%68%
68% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 76% YES by dollars · 24 YES vs 30 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%· net of hedges
+4 new YES$9+10 new NO$1.1K
$0 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales5 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $4.5K is directional: YES $3.5K·NO $1.1K
YES Team
Total Invested
$5.3K
Avg Win Rate
64.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$3.5K(-65.6%)
Whales
60
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥇
Entry 8¢·29,870.4 shares
$-2386INV $2.5K · WR 57.7%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 17¢·3,270.5 shares
$-537INV $545 · WR 87.7%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 17¢·1,066.1 shares
$-175INV $178 · WR 72.2%
G
GodGuideBullehedged
Entry 17¢·921.2 shares·also $756 on NO
$-153INV $156 · WR 75.0%
O
Orion96
Entry 6¢·1,869.8 shares
$-106INV $110 · WR 67.7%
M
Miojinho
Entry 3¢·1,381.8 shares
$-40INV $43 · WR 61.4%
R
ROOKIE
Entry 8¢·328.6 shares
$-25INV $26 · WR 55.2%
G
groppone
Entry 7¢·300 shares
$-20INV $21 · WR 63.6%
P
products
Entry 17¢·80.3 shares
$-13INV $13 · WR 86.6%
R
rated
Entry 17¢·58.9 shares
$-10INV $10 · WR 87.7%
Showing top 10 of 60

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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