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Economics80 days left

Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$4.96M
48,928 trades
Smart Whales
145
of 7,096 traders

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

13 MARKETS · $54.06M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

49 YESvs96 NO
34%66%
66% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 98% YES by dollars · 31 YES vs 11 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $6.7K is directional: YES $6.6K·NO $148
YES Team
Total Invested
$7.8K
Avg Win Rate
86.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$6.6K(-84.6%)
Whales
49
B
betterfasterstronger🥇
Entry 8¢·40,526.9 shares
$-3097INV $3.1K · WR 89.7%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 8¢·11,057.1 shares
$-845INV $851 · WR 79.6%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 8¢·9,356.8 shares
$-715INV $720 · WR 87.7%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 8¢·6,449 shares
$-493INV $496 · WR 85.9%
4
0x4e25605f...Proven
Entry 7¢·4,423.3 shares
$-327INV $329 · WR 69.4%
D
0xd32ce89f...Proven
Entry 8¢·2,358.8 shares
$-180INV $181 · WR 83.5%
R
rainbowlilies
Entry 1¢·15,868.6 shares
$-165INV $173 · WR 84.8%
A
avengers2357avengers
Entry 8¢·2,077 shares
$-161INV $162 · WR 95.3%
K
kneelbeforetheking
Entry 8¢·1,500 shares
$-115INV $115 · WR 92.2%
C
Copezilla
Entry 0¢·33,500 shares
$-89INV $104 · WR 70.5%
Showing top 10 of 49

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 34% YES: 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026