Tech/AI4 days left
Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?
YES Price
37Ā¢
37% implied
NO Price
63Ā¢
63% implied
Volume
$2.4K
640 trades
Smart Whales
143
of 371 traders
Next Claude Haiku (4.6+) released by...?
4 MARKETS Ā· $16.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
81 YESvs62 NO
57%43%
57% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars Ā· 0 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 71%Ā· net of hedges
+131 new YES$211+140 new NO$409
$150 of this was bought on both sides by the same 12 buyers ā left out of momentum
59 smart whales50 smart whales
Both-sides exposure Ā· invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides ā all $54 is directional: YES $0Ā·NO $54YES Team
Total Invested
$261
Avg Win Rate
66.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$24(-9.3%)
Whales
81
M
maxkiselš„
Entry 50Ā¢Ā·164 shares
Invested
$82
Win Rate
68.0%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $82 Ā· WR 68.0%
A
0xa6135882...š„
Entry 39Ā¢Ā·5.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 Ā· WR 56.7%
D
0xd47878cd...š„
Entry 39Ā¢Ā·5.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 Ā· WR 60.0%
B
0xb45c6b8c...
Entry 39Ā¢Ā·5.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 Ā· WR 58.0%
F
0xfacba2b4...
Entry 39Ā¢Ā·5.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
65.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 Ā· WR 65.6%
0
0x0f75a34f...
Entry 39Ā¢Ā·5.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
60.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 Ā· WR 60.8%
B
0xb0713b44...
Entry 40Ā¢Ā·5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 Ā· WR 59.8%
2
0x20dacbd9...
Entry 46Ā¢Ā·4.3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 Ā· WR 58.1%
F
0xf9aa9411...
Entry 46Ā¢Ā·4.3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 Ā· WR 58.7%
7
0x7e1a628a...
Entry 46Ā¢Ā·4.3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
58.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 Ā· WR 58.2%
Showing top 10 of 81
NO Team
Total Invested
$158
Avg Win Rate
58.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$11(+7.0%)
Whales
62
A
ArmageddonRewardsBillyš„
Entry 54Ā¢Ā·100 shares
Invested
$54
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $54 Ā· WR 57.8%
3
0x3a4c3e6d...š„
Entry 55Ā¢Ā·3.6 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 Ā· WR 56.5%
6
0x6e20bf09...š„
Entry 60Ā¢Ā·3.3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 Ā· WR 55.7%
8
0x8f1584bf...
Entry 60Ā¢Ā·3.3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
65.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 Ā· WR 65.6%
1
0x151fb0fa...
Entry 60Ā¢Ā·3.3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
63.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 Ā· WR 63.5%
9
0x93ae46b6...
Entry 60Ā¢Ā·3.3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 Ā· WR 56.8%
8
0x81c1ff9d...
Entry 60Ā¢Ā·3.3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 Ā· WR 55.9%
8
0x8d877107...
Entry 60Ā¢Ā·3.3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 Ā· WR 56.8%
D
0xd74261e3...
Entry 60Ā¢Ā·3.3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 Ā· WR 55.1%
0
0x05bb428a...
Entry 60Ā¢Ā·3.3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 Ā· WR 57.4%
Showing top 10 of 62
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 322ms