Polymarket wallet 0x8d87…96a7

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x8d87…96a7 has made 199 trades on Polymarket across 196 markets, $281 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (10%) and economics (10%). On 182 resolved markets the win rate is 58.8%, lifetime P&L +$21. It holds 11 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will OpenRouter process between 210T and 220T tokens the week of November 9?". Last trade: Nov 14, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will OpenRouter process between 210T and 220T tokens the week of November 9?Yes · $2 · 52¢ → 95¢
• Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?No · $1 · 77¢ → 90¢
• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8?Yes · $1 · 26¢ → 30¢
• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?No · $1 · 54¢ → 60¢
• Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?No · $1 · 76¢ → 79¢
• Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026?No · $1 · 75¢ → 77¢
• Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 19, 2026?Yes · $1 · 25¢ → 25¢
• Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from November 13 to November 20, 2026?No · $1 · 80¢ → 78¢
• Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?No · $1 · 66¢ → 55¢
• Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026?No · $1 · 67¢ → 54¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?No · +$0 · Nov 14, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?No · +$0 · Nov 14, 2026
• SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 13?No · +$2 · Nov 13, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?No · +$0 · Nov 13, 2026
• S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 12?No · +$3 · Nov 13, 2026
• Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Nov 12, 2026
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.