3 days left
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?
YES Price
35¢
35% implied
NO Price
65¢
65% implied
Volume
$1.6K
81 trades
Smart Whales
26
of 59 traders
Elon Musk # tweets November 14 - November 16, 2026?
10 MARKETS · $10.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026
7¢+93¢$8591/0Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026+93¢7¢
$8591/0
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026
4¢+46¢$1.1K1/1Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026+46¢4¢
$1.1K1/1
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026
1¢+99¢$8891/0Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026+99¢1¢
$8891/0
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026
1¢+99¢$961/0Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026+99¢1¢
$961/0
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026
1¢+99¢$5261/0Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026+99¢1¢
$5261/0
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026
0¢+50¢$6311/1Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026+50¢0¢
$6311/1
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026
36¢−3¢$1.7K1/2Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026−3¢36¢
$1.7K1/2
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026←
35¢+65¢$1.6K3/0Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026←+65¢35¢
$1.6K3/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
12 YESvs14 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 35¢
YES 46%NO 54%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 35¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 61% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 76%· net of hedges
$445
$915
+31 new YES · 12 smart whales+39 new NO · 13 smart whales
$460 bought on both sides by the same 13 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘsplit 2 · 2
YES 2NO 2one dot = one wallet
2 wallets on YES
2 wallets on NO
The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 29h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $317 is directional: YES $192·NO $125YES Team
Total Invested
$200
Avg Win Rate
59.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$17(+8.7%)
Whales
12
A
AndreaPirlo🥇
Entry 31¢·494.9 shares
Invested
$154
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $154 · WR 59.6%
F
fellu🥈
Entry 32¢·96.8 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $31 · WR 57.6%
S
Sema1994🥉
Entry 32¢·16.1 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 63.2%
O
oboltusovao
Entry 11¢·17.5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $2 · WR 88.2%
8
0x80e7b1f4...
Entry 34¢·2.9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 60.9%
C
0xcff6098a...
Entry 34¢·2.9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 59.4%
5
0x57efdbda...
Entry 34¢·2.9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 58.6%
E
0xed10038b...
Entry 34¢·2.9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 61.3%
5
0x536e82ab...
Entry 34¢·2.9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 60.2%
8
0x8dabf128...
Entry 34¢·2.9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 61.2%
Showing top 10 of 12
NO Team
Total Invested
$153
Avg Win Rate
66.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$3(+1.7%)
Whales
14
F
Fickle-Halt-Window🥇
Entry 67¢·94.4 shares
Invested
$63
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $63 · WR 55.3%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 68¢·90 shares
Invested
$61
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $61 · WR 71.9%
P
products🥉
Entry 67¢·20 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $13 · WR 85.2%
L
Lucerys
Entry 33¢·16 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $5 · WR 87.7%
F
0xf3f18251...
Entry 66¢·1.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 57.1%
C
0xc419c48d...
Entry 66¢·1.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 57.4%
E
0xe1936853...
Entry 67¢·1.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
64.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 64.2%
4
0x4289f0f1...
Entry 67¢·1.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
60.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 60.7%
6
0x6e10b235...
Entry 67¢·1.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
58.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 58.2%
A
0xaf83240a...
Entry 67¢·1.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 60.0%
Showing top 10 of 14
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