Polymarket wallet 0x57ef…cab9

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x57ef…cab9 has made 130 trades on Polymarket across 129 markets, $178 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (20%) and economics (7%). On 116 resolved markets the win rate is 58.6%, lifetime P&L -$3. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?". Last trade: Nov 13, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?Yes · $2 · 22¢ → 35¢
• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?No · $1 · 59¢ → 63¢
• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8?No · $1 · 75¢ → 79¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?No · +$0 · Nov 13, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?No · -$1 · Nov 13, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?No · +$0 · Nov 13, 2026
• Will Muse from Meta be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 13?Yes · +$0 · Nov 13, 2026
• Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 12, 2026?No · +$1 · Nov 13, 2026
• Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 13, 2026?Yes · +$0 · Nov 12, 2026
• Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Nov 12, 2026
• Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 11, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Nov 12, 2026
• Israel military action against Lebanon on November 8?Yes · +$0 · Nov 11, 2026
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?Yes · +$0 · Nov 10, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.