Polymarket wallet 0x4289…314c

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x4289…314c has made 143 trades on Polymarket across 141 markets, $143 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (13%) and crypto (12%). On 135 resolved markets the win rate is 60.7%, lifetime P&L +$19. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?". Last trade: Nov 13, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?Yes · $2 · 28¢ → 44¢
• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8?No · $1 · 77¢ → 79¢
• Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?No · $1 · 67¢ → 66¢
• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?Yes · $1 · 42¢ → 40¢

Latest closed positions

• SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 13?Yes · -$1 · Nov 13, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Nov 13, 2026
• Will Muse from Meta be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 13?No · -$1 · Nov 13, 2026
• Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 13, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Nov 12, 2026
• Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Nov 12, 2026
• Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 11, 2026?No · +$0 · Nov 12, 2026
• S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 11?No · -$1 · Nov 12, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?No · -$1 · Nov 11, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?No · +$2 · Nov 11, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?No · +$0 · Nov 11, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.