Polymarket wallet 0x8dab…0ecf

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x8dab…0ecf has made 101 trades on Polymarket across 100 markets, $138 in volume. Most of it is in economics (12%) and geopolitics (11%). On 89 resolved markets the win rate is 57.3%, lifetime P&L +$0. It holds 6 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?". Last trade: Nov 7, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?No · $1 · 73¢ → 100¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?Yes · $1 · 80¢ → 99¢
• Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?No · $1 · 78¢ → 87¢
• Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 36M tonnes at end of October 2026?No · $1 · 80¢ → 84¢
• Gemini Carbon released by November 13, 2026?Yes · $1 · 80¢ → 79¢
• Gemini Carbon released by November 10, 2026?Yes · $1 · 47¢ → 33¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Nov 6, 2026
• Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October?Yes · +$3 · Nov 6, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 4, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Nov 5, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?No · +$0 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?No · +$0 · Nov 3, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?No · +$0 · Nov 2, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.