Geopolitics2 days left
Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?
YES Price
25¢
25% implied
NO Price
75¢
75% implied
Volume
$29.0K
597 trades
Smart Whales
94
of 264 traders
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of October?
5 MARKETS · $114.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be 35 or more average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31
0¢+20¢$8.0K4/16Will there be 35 or more average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31+20¢0¢
$8.0K4/16
Will there be between 20 and 24 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31
4¢+25¢$18.7K9/22Will there be between 20 and 24 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31+25¢4¢
$18.7K9/22
Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31
67¢−23¢$45.5K23/29Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31−23¢67¢
$45.5K23/29
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Smart Money Consensus
36 YESvs58 NO
38%62%
62% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 3% YES by dollars · 31 YES vs 38 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 77%· net of hedges
+62 new YES$211+61 new NO$620
$64 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
31 smart whales34 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $3.4K is directional: YES $93·NO $3.3KYES Team
Total Invested
$112
Avg Win Rate
65.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$36(+32.1%)
Whales
36
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 13¢·222.6 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $28 · WR 72.0%
S
Shallow-Diadem🥈
Entry 24¢·57.3 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $14 · WR 59.6%
N
neverhackme🥉
Entry 19¢·66 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
75.4%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $12 · WR 75.4%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 24¢·42.1 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $10 · WR 57.5%
E
e2021dchedged
Entry 11¢·42.6 shares·also $38 on NO
Invested
$5
Win Rate
69.9%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $5 · WR 69.9%
P
Pricey-Million
Entry 24¢·18.9 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 60.1%
C
Classic-Loggia
Entry 23¢·19.2 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 59.8%
R
Redl
Entry 21¢·14.3 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
90.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $3 · WR 90.9%
9
0x963597f5...
Entry 24¢·4.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 58.5%
3
0x343b5b2a...
Entry 26¢·3.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
58.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 58.2%
Showing top 10 of 36
NO Team
Total Invested
$4.5K
Avg Win Rate
70.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$18(-0.4%)
Whales
58
R
RememberAmalek◆Proven🥇
Entry 87¢·2,141.3 shares
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
$-240
$-240INV $1.9K · WR 64.4%
S
sabsabinxz🥈
Entry 76¢·1,687 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
66.3%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $1.3K · WR 66.3%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 59¢·747.4 shares
Invested
$445
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$120
+$120INV $445 · WR 87.6%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 76¢·180 shares
Invested
$136
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $136 · WR 88.1%
B
browne
Entry 89¢·102 shares
Invested
$91
Win Rate
75.1%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $91 · WR 75.1%
A
akla27
Entry 52¢·163.8 shares
Invested
$84
Win Rate
84.6%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $84 · WR 84.6%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 77¢·95.3 shares
Invested
$73
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $73 · WR 88.0%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 53¢·134 shares
Invested
$71
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $71 · WR 86.0%
X
xamel27
Entry 50¢·138.5 shares
Invested
$69
Win Rate
83.5%
Position P&L
+$35
+$35INV $69 · WR 83.5%
Z
zerone777
Entry 50¢·103.6 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
84.6%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $52 · WR 84.6%
Showing top 10 of 58
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