Redl · Polymarket wallet 0x4c19…8202

Wallet snapshot

Redl has made 42 trades on Polymarket across 30 markets, $520 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (16%) and crypto (16%). On 11 resolved markets the win rate is 90.9%, lifetime P&L +$96. It holds 19 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in September?". Last trade: Oct 28, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in September?No · $20 · 90¢ → 97¢
• Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes · $20 · 90¢ → 91¢
• Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes · $11 · 85¢ → 97¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes · $10 · 88¢ → 97¢
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?Yes · $10 · 91¢ → 95¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No · $10 · 94¢ → 98¢
• Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?No · $10 · 90¢ → 93¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?No · $10 · 96¢ → 99¢
• Michigan Senate favorite on November 2?Yes · $10 · 93¢ → 93¢
• Texas Senate favorite on November 2?Yes · $10 · 95¢ → 95¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on October 28?No · +$0 · Oct 29, 2026
• Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 28?No · +$0 · Oct 29, 2026
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · +$0 · Oct 28, 2026
• Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Yes · +$1 · Oct 28, 2026
• Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?No · -$1 · Oct 28, 2026
• Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?Yes · +$1 · Oct 28, 2026

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