Tech/AI19 days left
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?
YES Price
70¢
70% implied
NO Price
30¢
30% implied
Volume
$17.3K
774 trades
Smart Whales
33
of 204 traders
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?
21 MARKETS · $38.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Alibaba have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026
0¢+33¢$5526/12Will Alibaba have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026+33¢0¢
$5526/12
Will Amazon have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026
0¢+10¢$8172/18Will Amazon have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026+10¢0¢
$8172/18
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026←
70¢−43¢$17.3K9/24Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026←−43¢70¢
$17.3K9/24
Will Baidu have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026
0¢+11¢$7502/17Will Baidu have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026+11¢0¢
$7502/17
Will ByteDance have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026
0¢+28¢$6135/13Will ByteDance have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026+28¢0¢
$6135/13
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026
0¢+11¢$8102/16Will DeepSeek have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026+11¢0¢
$8102/16
Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026
29¢+1¢$2.3K7/16Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026+1¢29¢
$2.3K7/16
Will Meituan have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026
0¢+36¢$4415/9Will Meituan have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026+36¢0¢
$4415/9
Will Meta have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026
6¢+11¢$1.5K3/15Will Meta have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026+11¢6¢
$1.5K3/15
Will Microsoft have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026
0¢+42¢$4775/7Will Microsoft have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026+42¢0¢
$4775/7
Will MiniMax have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026
0¢+36¢$4825/9Will MiniMax have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026+36¢0¢
$4825/9
Will Mistral have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026
0¢+38¢$4955/8Will Mistral have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026+38¢0¢
$4955/8
Will Moonshot have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026
0¢+15¢$8403/17Will Moonshot have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026+15¢0¢
$8403/17
Will Nvidia have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026
0¢+11¢$8142/16Will Nvidia have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026+11¢0¢
$8142/16
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026
2¢+19¢$6.9K6/22Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026+19¢2¢
$6.9K6/22
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026
0¢+33¢$5136/12Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026+33¢0¢
$5136/12
Will StepFun have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026
0¢+31¢$5095/11Will StepFun have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026+31¢0¢
$5095/11
Will Tencent have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026
0¢+10¢$7752/19Will Tencent have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026+10¢0¢
$7752/19
Will Thinky have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026
0¢+31¢$5865/11Will Thinky have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026+31¢0¢
$5865/11
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Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs24 NO
27%73%
73% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 95% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $392 is directional: YES $374·NO $18YES Team
Total Invested
$410
Avg Win Rate
66.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$247(+60.3%)
Whales
9
V
vinii🥇
Entry 50¢·498.3 shares
Invested
$250
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$106
+$106INV $250 · WR 65.8%
M
molodoyy◆Proven🥈
Entry 42¢·97.9 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $41 · WR 63.6%
B
bmtr🥉
Entry 48¢·80.1 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
63.5%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $38 · WR 63.5%
X
X-Rabbit.Sezu
Entry 62¢·50 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $31 · WR 67.1%
J
Jebury-Dracula
Entry 35¢·50 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
75.3%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $18 · WR 75.3%
S
Spherical-Fringe◆Proven
Entry 67¢·20 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $13 · WR 65.5%
S
shangqianhedged
Entry 5¢·110.2 shares·also $95 on NO
Invested
$6
Win Rate
92.9%
Position P&L
+$71
+$71INV $6 · WR 92.9%
Showing top 7 of 9
NO Team
Total Invested
$389
Avg Win Rate
84.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$74(-19.1%)
Whales
24
S
shangqian🥇hedged
Entry 86¢·110.2 shares·also $6 on YES
Invested
$95
Win Rate
92.9%
Position P&L
$-61
$-61INV $95 · WR 92.9%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 41¢·110 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $45 · WR 85.9%
T
Tee1000🥉
Entry 31¢·81 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $25 · WR 81.8%
M
Majas
Entry 63¢·40 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $25 · WR 67.4%
M
merod
Entry 28¢·83 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $23 · WR 84.1%
G
GingerMcKenna
Entry 32¢·60 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
84.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $19 · WR 84.9%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 30¢·61.1 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $18 · WR 79.2%
U
Unnatural-Insulation
Entry 90¢·20 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $18 · WR 58.1%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 18¢·100 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $18 · WR 88.7%
L
LesterDiamond
Entry 33¢·50 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $17 · WR 88.1%
Showing top 10 of 24
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