3 days left
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?
YES Price
17¢
17% implied
NO Price
83¢
83% implied
Volume
$959
33 trades
Smart Whales
9
of 21 traders
Elon Musk # tweets November 14 - November 16, 2026?
10 MARKETS · $10.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026
7¢+93¢$8591/0Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026+93¢7¢
$8591/0
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026
3¢+47¢$1.1K1/1Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026+47¢3¢
$1.1K1/1
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026
1¢+99¢$8891/0Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026+99¢1¢
$8891/0
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026
1¢+99¢$961/0Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026+99¢1¢
$961/0
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026
1¢+99¢$5261/0Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026+99¢1¢
$5261/0
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026
0¢+50¢$6311/1Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026+50¢0¢
$6311/1
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026
36¢−3¢$1.7K1/2Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026−3¢36¢
$1.7K1/2
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026
35¢+65¢$1.6K3/0Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026+65¢35¢
$1.6K3/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs6 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 17¢
YES 33%NO 67%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 17¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 17% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 89%· net of hedges
$136
$683
+10 new YES · 1 smart whale+17 new NO · 7 smart whales
$118 bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ2 of 3 on NO
YES 1NO 2one dot = one wallet
1 wallet on YES
2 wallets on NO
The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 29h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $94 is directional: YES $16·NO $78YES Team
Total Invested
$16
Avg Win Rate
60.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$5(+30.6%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$153
Avg Win Rate
78.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$2(+1.4%)
Whales
6
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 81¢·90 shares
Invested
$73
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $73 · WR 71.9%
G
god83743894🥈
Entry 82¢·30 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $25 · WR 86.0%
M
mustbethewater🥉
Entry 82¢·25 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $21 · WR 79.6%
P
products
Entry 83¢·20 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $17 · WR 85.2%
L
Lucerys
Entry 81¢·16.1 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $13 · WR 87.7%
A
Ample-Citizenship
Entry 84¢·6 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 75.8%
Smart Whale Trades
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