3 days left
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?
YES Price
36¢
36% implied
NO Price
64¢
64% implied
Volume
$1.7K
63 trades
Smart Whales
9
of 40 traders
Elon Musk # tweets November 14 - November 16, 2026?
10 MARKETS · $10.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026
7¢+93¢$8591/0Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026+93¢7¢
$8591/0
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026
3¢+47¢$1.1K1/1Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026+47¢3¢
$1.1K1/1
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026
1¢+99¢$8891/0Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026+99¢1¢
$8891/0
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026
1¢+99¢$961/0Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026+99¢1¢
$961/0
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026
1¢+99¢$5261/0Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026+99¢1¢
$5261/0
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026
0¢+50¢$6311/1Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026+50¢0¢
$6311/1
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026←
36¢−3¢$1.7K1/2Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026←−3¢36¢
$1.7K1/2
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026
35¢+65¢$1.6K3/0Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026+65¢35¢
$1.6K3/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs6 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 36¢
YES 33%NO 67%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 36¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 36% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 71%· net of hedges
$575
$1.0K
+21 new YES · 2 smart whales+28 new NO · 5 smart whales
$575 bought on both sides by the same 10 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ2 of 3 on NO
YES 1NO 2one dot = one wallet
1 wallet on YES
2 wallets on NO
The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 29h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $299 is directional: YES $109·NO $190YES Team
Total Invested
$109
Avg Win Rate
60.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$19(+17.5%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$291
Avg Win Rate
66.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$5(+1.7%)
Whales
6
F
Fickle-Halt-Window🥇
Entry 61¢·215.7 shares
Invested
$132
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $132 · WR 55.3%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 65¢·90 shares
Invested
$59
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $59 · WR 71.9%
M
melchior1248🥉
Entry 64¢·90 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
70.1%
Position P&L
—
—INV $58 · WR 70.1%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 64¢·30 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
—
—INV $19 · WR 89.0%
P
products
Entry 65¢·20 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $13 · WR 85.2%
L
Lucerys
Entry 65¢·16.1 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 87.7%
Smart Whale Trades
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