Tech/AI12 days left
Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by October 15, 2026?
YES Price
42¢
42% implied
NO Price
58¢
58% implied
Volume
$5.4K
188 trades
Smart Whales
18
of 83 traders
Next Claude Haiku released by...?
4 MARKETS · $17.0K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
11 YESvs7 NO
61%39%
61% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 97% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 70%· net of hedges
+8 new YES$171+8 new NO$74
$3 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
1 smart whale2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.0K is directional: YES $993·NO $36YES Team
Total Invested
$1.9K
Avg Win Rate
71.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$295(-15.6%)
Whales
11
H
Hugin-og-Munin🥇
Entry 86¢·948.4 shares
Invested
$814
Win Rate
67.0%
Position P&L
$-41
$-41INV $814 · WR 67.0%
B
Bersa1202🥈
Entry 56¢·1,303.9 shares
Invested
$728
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
$-187
$-187INV $728 · WR 79.4%
E
Elias.Thornwell🥉
Entry 88¢·166.4 shares
Invested
$146
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
$-77
$-77INV $146 · WR 68.6%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 88¢·100 shares
Invested
$88
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $88 · WR 57.8%
R
realchesta
Entry 75¢·40.5 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
73.9%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $30 · WR 73.9%
B
BeRaLe
Entry 78¢·37.6 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $29 · WR 62.5%
P
parameter1
Entry 77¢·20 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $15 · WR 61.3%
L
lamykhedged
Entry 71¢·20 shares·also $7 on NO
Invested
$14
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $14 · WR 55.6%
E
0xe83bab73...
Entry 75¢·13.3 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
76.5%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $10 · WR 76.5%
D
dedidanc
Entry 48¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
58.4%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 58.4%
Showing top 10 of 11
NO Team
Total Invested
$135
Avg Win Rate
62.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$24(-17.9%)
Whales
7
N
navber🥇
Entry 84¢·82.9 shares
Invested
$70
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $70 · WR 61.1%
M
molodoyy◆Proven🥈
Entry 54¢·63 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
63.5%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $34 · WR 63.5%
D
DJa🥉
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $10 · WR 65.8%
L
lamykhedged
Entry 36¢·20 shares·also $14 on YES
Invested
$7
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $7 · WR 55.6%
R
romanew-1-new
Entry 38¢·16.4 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
64.7%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $6 · WR 64.7%
B
BrownBees◆Proven
Entry 19¢·28 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
62.3%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $5 · WR 62.3%
S
Somber-Cravat
Entry 12¢·20 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
95.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 95.8%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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