Tech/AI28 days left
Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by October 31, 2026?
YES Price
93¢
93% implied
NO Price
7¢
7% implied
Volume
$2.7K
161 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 75 traders
Next Claude Haiku released by...?
4 MARKETS · $17.0K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs4 NO
64%36%
64% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 89% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 90%
+2 new YES$60+3 new NO$7
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $463 is directional: YES $411·NO $52YES Team
Total Invested
$467
Avg Win Rate
60.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$129(+27.6%)
Whales
7
L
lamyk🥇
Entry 75¢·255 shares
Invested
$192
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$43
+$43INV $192 · WR 55.6%
D
dedidanc🥈
Entry 89¢·143.9 shares
Invested
$129
Win Rate
58.4%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $129 · WR 58.4%
N
noname-🥉
Entry 92¢·57 shares
Invested
$53
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
—
—INV $53 · WR 55.3%
N
NeevS
Entry 50¢·100 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
+$43
+$43INV $50 · WR 88.5%
M
molodoyy◆Proven
Entry 58¢·62.5 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
63.5%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $36 · WR 63.5%
H
hithitfar
Entry 27¢·23.3 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $6 · WR 59.4%
M
melonmanm◆Proven
Entry 34¢·3.6 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $1 · WR 69.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$72
Avg Win Rate
68.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$55(-76.2%)
Whales
4
L
lightsout912🥇
Entry 18¢·150 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
67.2%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $27 · WR 67.2%
K
KimchiCapital◆Proven🥈
Entry 63¢·37.8 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $24 · WR 79.1%
S
suikxtx🥉
Entry 57¢·35 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $20 · WR 56.8%
K
Kimera-
Entry 73¢·1.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 65.8%
Smart Whale Trades
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