Tech/AI89 days left
Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
99Ā¢
99% implied
NO Price
1Ā¢
1% implied
Volume
$6.1K
282 trades
Smart Whales
21
of 106 traders
Next Claude Haiku released by...?
4 MARKETS Ā· $16.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
15 YESvs6 NO
71%29%
71% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 76% YES by dollars Ā· 13 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h ā no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure Ā· invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides ā all $1.0K is directional: YES $763Ā·NO $243YES Team
Total Invested
$791
Avg Win Rate
68.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$239(+30.2%)
Whales
15
H
Hugin-og-Muninš„
Entry 96¢·220 shares
Invested
$211
Win Rate
67.0%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $211 Ā· WR 67.0%
K
KimchiCapitalāProvenš„
Entry 93¢·155.6 shares
Invested
$145
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $145 Ā· WR 79.1%
L
lamykš„
Entry 80¢·146.8 shares
Invested
$118
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $118 Ā· WR 55.6%
X
xcaiox
Entry 67¢·121.5 shares
Invested
$81
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
+$38
+$38INV $81 Ā· WR 75.8%
P
parameter1
Entry 54¢·112.8 shares
Invested
$61
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
+$50
+$50INV $61 Ā· WR 61.3%
I
Invictus07
Entry 66¢·53 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
64.7%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $35 Ā· WR 64.7%
M
melonmanmāProven
Entry 71¢·46.4 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $33 Ā· WR 69.4%
Z
ZalphaAIhedged
Entry 31¢·90.6 shares·also $43 on NO
Invested
$28
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
+$62
+$62INV $28 Ā· WR 64.4%
I
iutwpfal
Entry 98¢·28.1 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
73.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $28 Ā· WR 73.9%
S
spraynpray
Entry 87¢·20 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
76.3%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $17 Ā· WR 76.3%
Showing top 10 of 15
NO Team
Total Invested
$296
Avg Win Rate
59.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$288(-97.0%)
Whales
6
C
Contentious-DinnerdateāProvenš„
Entry 31¢·590.8 shares
Invested
$181
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-175
$-175INV $181 Ā· WR 56.1%
M
molodoyyāProvenš„
Entry 34¢·180 shares
Invested
$61
Win Rate
63.5%
Position P&L
$-60
$-60INV $61 Ā· WR 63.5%
Z
ZalphaAIš„hedged
Entry 47¢·90.6 shares·also $28 on YES
Invested
$43
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
$-42
$-42INV $43 Ā· WR 64.4%
H
hithitfar
Entry 25¢·24.2 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $6 Ā· WR 59.4%
6
6sFjgt22jX8tME
Entry 71¢·6.7 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 Ā· WR 60.9%
S
suikxtx
Entry 3¢·53.6 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 Ā· WR 56.8%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 367ms