Polymarket wallet 0xd478…0f67

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0xd478…0f67 has made 198 trades on Polymarket across 103 markets, $222 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (14%) and economics (9%). On 95 resolved markets the win rate is 57.9%, lifetime P&L +$10. It holds 8 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?". Last trade: Oct 27, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?Yes · $1 · 26¢ → 36¢
• Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?Yes · $1 · 68¢ → 91¢
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?Yes · $1 · 78¢ → 98¢
• Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?No · $1 · 78¢ → 91¢
• Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?Yes · $1 · 73¢ → 83¢
• S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?Yes · $1 · 56¢ → 54¢
• Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 in October?No · $1 · 65¢ → 56¢
• Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?Yes · $1 · 76¢ → 51¢

Latest closed positions

• Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 16?Yes · +$2 · Oct 27, 2026
• Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?Yes · +$0 · Oct 26, 2026
• SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 23?No · +$0 · Oct 23, 2026
• Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of October 19 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 23, 2026
• Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $540 Week of October 19 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 23, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?No · +$1 · Oct 23, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.