Polymarket wallet 0xb45c…962d

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0xb45c…962d has made 162 trades on Polymarket across 77 markets, $179 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (13%) and politics (10%). On 75 resolved markets the win rate is 57.3%, lifetime P&L +$3. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 10, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?No · $3 · 59¢ → 100¢
• Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?No · $0 · 40¢ → 18¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of October 5 2026?No · +$1 · Oct 9, 2026
• S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 8?Yes · -$1 · Oct 8, 2026
• Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,050 Week of October 5 2026?No · -$1 · Oct 8, 2026
• Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?Yes · +$2 · Oct 7, 2026
• SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 5?Yes · +$1 · Oct 5, 2026
• WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on October 1?Yes · +$1 · Oct 2, 2026
• WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on October 1?No · -$1 · Oct 2, 2026
• S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1?Yes · +$0 · Oct 2, 2026
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?Yes · -$1 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $80 in September?No · +$0 · Sep 30, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.