Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-03 House election by 20%-25%?
YES Price
71¢
71% implied
NO Price
29¢
29% implied
Volume
$5.2K
161 trades
Smart Whales
23
of 84 traders
UT-03 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $40.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs16 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 91% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $103 is directional: YES $93·NO $10YES Team
Total Invested
$93
Avg Win Rate
65.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$618(+661.1%)
Whales
7
F
fkpa🥇
Entry 7¢·375.5 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
+$240
+$240INV $27 · WR 61.8%
T
thanksforplayin🥈
Entry 10¢·204.3 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$125
+$125INV $21 · WR 56.0%
R
RayGuy🥉
Entry 5¢·289 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$191
+$191INV $15 · WR 56.1%
D
deepervalue
Entry 76¢·16 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
76.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $12 · WR 76.9%
Q
quine-zyx
Entry 86¢·11.8 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
89.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $10 · WR 89.9%
B
Baggy-Forehead-Consistency
Entry 9¢·71.8 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
+$45
+$45INV $6 · WR 66.9%
L
Lucerys
Entry 8¢·30 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $2 · WR 87.7%
NO Team
Total Invested
$351
Avg Win Rate
82.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$207(-59.1%)
Whales
16
Q
qwen300.fund🥇
Entry 94¢·86.9 shares
Invested
$82
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-57
$-57INV $82 · WR 86.1%
M
mustbethewater🥈
Entry 83¢·49.7 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-27
$-27INV $41 · WR 79.6%
P
pollo07🥉
Entry 81¢·47.5 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $38 · WR 81.8%
A
alex20011
Entry 81¢·47.5 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
74.8%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $38 · WR 74.8%
B
balthazar
Entry 35¢·59.9 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $21 · WR 71.9%
N
northdrawer
Entry 93¢·20 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $19 · WR 87.5%
K
klli27
Entry 81¢·21 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
81.0%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $17 · WR 81.0%
A
akroll
Entry 81¢·21 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
80.8%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $17 · WR 80.8%
K
kaxel78
Entry 81¢·21 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
82.0%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $17 · WR 82.0%
E
e46m3
Entry 89¢·17.8 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $16 · WR 79.2%
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