Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-03 House election by 40%-45%?
YES Price
16¢
16% implied
NO Price
84¢
84% implied
Volume
$3.7K
149 trades
Smart Whales
26
of 83 traders
UT-03 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $40.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs19 NO
27%73%
73% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $114 is directional: YES $114·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$114
Avg Win Rate
64.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$52(+45.7%)
Whales
7
F
fkpa🥇
Entry 17¢·263.1 shares
Invested
$46
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
—
—INV $46 · WR 61.8%
S
sweetj🥈
Entry 14¢·253 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $36 · WR 71.6%
R
RayGuy🥉
Entry 5¢·289 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $15 · WR 56.1%
C
Car
Entry 10¢·77.9 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $8 · WR 64.9%
A
Anjun◆Proven
Entry 16¢·40 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
58.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $6 · WR 58.4%
M
mad4x
Entry 11¢·25 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $3 · WR 55.9%
5
0x54498e4c...
Entry 12¢·9.7 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 55.5%
NO Team
Total Invested
$640
Avg Win Rate
83.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$5(+0.8%)
Whales
19
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 83¢·172.9 shares
Invested
$144
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $144 · WR 87.7%
Q
qwen300.fund🥈
Entry 85¢·86.9 shares
Invested
$74
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $74 · WR 86.1%
G
godblessme2026🥉
Entry 95¢·75 shares
Invested
$72
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $72 · WR 87.9%
B
balthazar
Entry 92¢·59.9 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $55 · WR 71.9%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 85¢·49.7 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $42 · WR 79.6%
N
northdrawer
Entry 90¢·45.7 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $41 · WR 87.5%
A
alex20011
Entry 86¢·47.5 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
74.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $41 · WR 74.8%
P
pollo07
Entry 84¢·47.5 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $40 · WR 81.8%
E
e46m3
Entry 88¢·31.2 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $27 · WR 79.2%
K
kaxel78
Entry 84¢·21 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
82.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $18 · WR 82.0%
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