Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-03 House election by 45%-50%?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$1.3K
80 trades
Smart Whales
22
of 53 traders
UT-03 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $40.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs17 NO
23%77%
77% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $36 is directional: YES $36·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$36
Avg Win Rate
65.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$28(-77.7%)
Whales
5
S
sweetj🥇
Entry 6¢·279.1 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $16 · WR 71.6%
R
RayGuy🥈
Entry 5¢·289 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $15 · WR 56.1%
M
mustbethewater🥉
Entry 8¢·40 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 79.6%
B
balthazar
Entry 8¢·20 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 71.9%
F
fkpa
Entry 1¢·101.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 61.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$606
Avg Win Rate
85.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$45(+7.4%)
Whales
17
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 91¢·172.9 shares
Invested
$157
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $157 · WR 87.7%
Q
qwen300.fund🥈
Entry 100¢·86.9 shares
Invested
$86
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $86 · WR 86.1%
G
graynotebook19🥉
Entry 99¢·75 shares
Invested
$74
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $74 · WR 89.0%
P
pollo07
Entry 100¢·47.5 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $47 · WR 81.8%
A
alex20011
Entry 100¢·47.5 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
74.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $47 · WR 74.8%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 99¢·40 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $40 · WR 87.9%
G
god83743894
Entry 100¢·26 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $26 · WR 86.0%
K
klli27
Entry 100¢·21 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
81.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $21 · WR 81.0%
A
akroll
Entry 100¢·21 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
80.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $21 · WR 80.8%
K
kaxel78
Entry 99¢·21 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
82.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $21 · WR 82.0%
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