Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-03 House election by 35%-40%?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$5.7K
198 trades
Smart Whales
22
of 97 traders
UT-03 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $40.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs18 NO
18%82%
82% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 66% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $112 is directional: YES $74·NO $38YES Team
Total Invested
$74
Avg Win Rate
62.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$69(-93.5%)
Whales
4
F
fkpa🥇
Entry 14¢·346.7 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
$-47
$-47INV $49 · WR 61.8%
R
RayGuy🥈
Entry 5¢·289 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $15 · WR 56.1%
S
sweetj🥉
Entry 10¢·70 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $7 · WR 71.6%
B
balthazar
Entry 8¢·39.9 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 71.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$611
Avg Win Rate
83.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$132(+21.6%)
Whales
18
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 81¢·172.9 shares
Invested
$140
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$32
+$32INV $140 · WR 87.7%
S
smallreceipt🥈
Entry 96¢·85 shares
Invested
$82
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $82 · WR 88.6%
Q
qwen300.fund🥉
Entry 74¢·86.9 shares
Invested
$64
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $64 · WR 86.1%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 84¢·49.7 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $42 · WR 79.6%
P
pollo07
Entry 88¢·47.5 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $42 · WR 81.8%
A
alex20011
Entry 88¢·47.5 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
74.8%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $42 · WR 74.8%
C
Car
Entry 65¢·58.1 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $38 · WR 64.9%
G
god83743894
Entry 100¢·30 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $30 · WR 86.0%
M
merod
Entry 65¢·33 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
83.4%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $21 · WR 83.4%
A
akroll
Entry 89¢·21 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
80.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $19 · WR 80.8%
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