Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-03 House election by 30%-35%?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$9.3K
296 trades
Smart Whales
28
of 131 traders
UT-03 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $40.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs24 NO
14%86%
86% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 23% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $305 is directional: YES $70·NO $235YES Team
Total Invested
$70
Avg Win Rate
64.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$70(-99.1%)
Whales
4
F
fkpa🥇
Entry 19¢·304.6 shares
Invested
$57
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
$-56
$-56INV $57 · WR 61.8%
S
sweetj🥈
Entry 16¢·70 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $11 · WR 71.6%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 8¢·20 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 71.9%
L
Lucerys
Entry 8¢·15.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 87.7%
NO Team
Total Invested
$838
Avg Win Rate
73.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$411(+49.0%)
Whales
24
V
vinii◆Proven🥇
Entry 57¢·340.4 shares
Invested
$195
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$145
+$145INV $195 · WR 66.8%
R
RayGuy🥈
Entry 54¢·289 shares
Invested
$157
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$131
+$131INV $157 · WR 56.1%
H
haveagoodday🥉
Entry 98¢·75 shares
Invested
$74
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $74 · WR 86.5%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 70¢·86.9 shares
Invested
$61
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $61 · WR 86.1%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 82¢·66 shares
Invested
$54
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $54 · WR 89.0%
A
alex20011
Entry 85¢·47.5 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
74.8%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $40 · WR 74.8%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 81¢·49.7 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $40 · WR 79.6%
P
pollo07
Entry 84¢·47.5 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $40 · WR 81.8%
T
thanksforplayin
Entry 70¢·28.7 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $20 · WR 56.0%
K
kaxel78
Entry 85¢·21 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
82.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $18 · WR 82.0%
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