Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-03 House election by 10%-20%?
YES Price
28¢
28% implied
NO Price
72¢
72% implied
Volume
$3.4K
116 trades
Smart Whales
19
of 78 traders
UT-03 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $40.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs15 NO
21%79%
79% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 76% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $41 is directional: YES $31·NO $10YES Team
Total Invested
$31
Avg Win Rate
61.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$184(+594.4%)
Whales
4
R
RayGuy🥇
Entry 5¢·289 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$66
+$66INV $15 · WR 56.1%
B
Baggy-Forehead-Consistency🥈
Entry 7¢·123 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $8 · WR 66.9%
F
fkpa🥉
Entry 2¢·321.3 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
+$84
+$84INV $5 · WR 61.8%
B
balthazar
Entry 8¢·39.9 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $3 · WR 71.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$609
Avg Win Rate
84.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$127(-20.8%)
Whales
15
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 97¢·172.9 shares
Invested
$167
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-43
$-43INV $167 · WR 87.7%
Q
qwen300.fund🥈
Entry 99¢·86.9 shares
Invested
$86
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $86 · WR 86.1%
Q
quietparcel🥉
Entry 100¢·75 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $75 · WR 88.5%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 81¢·49.7 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $40 · WR 79.6%
A
alex20011
Entry 78¢·47.5 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
74.8%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $37 · WR 74.8%
P
pollo07
Entry 78¢·47.5 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $37 · WR 81.8%
P
plainfolder
Entry 99¢·36 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $36 · WR 86.1%
M
merod
Entry 90¢·33 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
83.4%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $30 · WR 83.4%
N
northdrawer
Entry 92¢·30 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $27 · WR 87.5%
K
klli27
Entry 78¢·21 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
81.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $16 · WR 81.0%
Showing top 10 of 15
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 364ms