Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-03 House election by 25%-30%?
YES Price
22¢
22% implied
NO Price
78¢
78% implied
Volume
$8.4K
303 trades
Smart Whales
26
of 120 traders
UT-03 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $40.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs19 NO
27%73%
73% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 63% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $130 is directional: YES $82·NO $48YES Team
Total Invested
$82
Avg Win Rate
62.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$91(+111.4%)
Whales
7
F
fkpa🥇
Entry 13¢·311.2 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $39 · WR 61.8%
R
RayGuy🥈
Entry 5¢·289 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$50
+$50INV $15 · WR 56.1%
S
sweetj🥉
Entry 18¢·70 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $12 · WR 71.6%
T
thanksforplayin
Entry 31¢·33 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $10 · WR 56.0%
B
balthazar
Entry 8¢·39.9 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $3 · WR 71.9%
L
Lucerys
Entry 8¢·30 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $2 · WR 87.7%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 8¢·3.5 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $0 · WR 86.5%
NO Team
Total Invested
$462
Avg Win Rate
81.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$18(-3.9%)
Whales
19
G
god83743894🥇
Entry 98¢·71.5 shares
Invested
$70
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $70 · WR 86.0%
Q
qwen300.fund🥈
Entry 80¢·86.9 shares
Invested
$70
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $70 · WR 86.1%
M
mustbethewater🥉
Entry 84¢·49.7 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $42 · WR 79.6%
P
pollo07
Entry 85¢·47.5 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $40 · WR 81.8%
A
alex20011
Entry 85¢·47.5 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
74.8%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $40 · WR 74.8%
C
Car
Entry 78¢·40 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $31 · WR 64.9%
E
e46m3
Entry 83¢·26.2 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $22 · WR 79.2%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 79¢·26 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $21 · WR 88.6%
K
klli27
Entry 85¢·21 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
81.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $18 · WR 81.0%
A
akroll
Entry 85¢·21 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
80.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $18 · WR 80.8%
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