Politics2 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-04 House election by 45% or more?
YES Price
4¢
4% implied
NO Price
96¢
96% implied
Volume
$3.2K
126 trades
Smart Whales
9
of 53 traders
UT-04 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $30.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs8 NO
11%89%
89% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 3% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $164 is directional: YES $5·NO $160YES Team
Total Invested
$5
Avg Win Rate
74.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$1(+18.0%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$359
Avg Win Rate
79.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$136(+37.9%)
Whales
8
M
Malganis🥇
Entry 96¢·166.7 shares
Invested
$160
Win Rate
73.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $160 · WR 73.8%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 61¢·114.1 shares
Invested
$70
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $70 · WR 88.0%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 66¢·60 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $40 · WR 72.0%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 50¢·76 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$35
+$35INV $38 · WR 88.7%
E
e46m3
Entry 62¢·52.9 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $33 · WR 79.6%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 88.9%
L
Loose-Alloy
Entry 50¢·16.1 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
77.2%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $8 · WR 77.2%
P
PollyForge
Entry 13¢·10.7 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $1 · WR 84.8%
Smart Whale Trades
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