Politics2 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-04 House election by 30%-35%?
YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$1.7K
118 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 43 traders
UT-04 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $30.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs9 NO
10%90%
90% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 71% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $17 is directional: YES $12·NO $5YES Team
Total Invested
$12
Avg Win Rate
74.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$7(-55.6%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$257
Avg Win Rate
82.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$153(+59.3%)
Whales
9
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 66¢·114.1 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $75 · WR 88.0%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 66¢·60 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $39 · WR 72.0%
R
Roasted-Skyscraper-Imagination🥉
Entry 58¢·66 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
75.3%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $38 · WR 75.3%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·76 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
88.3%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $38 · WR 88.3%
E
e46m3
Entry 66¢·50.1 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $33 · WR 79.6%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 89¢·20 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $18 · WR 89.2%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 87.1%
J
JoeDirtBuffett
Entry 81¢·6.2 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 56.4%
P
PollyForge
Entry 10¢·10.7 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $1 · WR 84.8%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 631ms