Politics2 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-04 House election by 0%-5%?
YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$701
81 trades
Smart Whales
8
of 39 traders
UT-04 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $30.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
0 YESvs8 NO
100%
100% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$0
Avg Win Rate
unknown
Aggregate P&L
—
Whales
0
No smart whales on YES
NO Team
Total Invested
$185
Avg Win Rate
83.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$141(+75.9%)
Whales
8
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 61¢·114.1 shares
Invested
$70
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$41
+$41INV $70 · WR 88.0%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 65¢·60 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $39 · WR 72.0%
G
god83743894🥉
Entry 50¢·76 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $38 · WR 86.1%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 50¢·20.1 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $10 · WR 88.7%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 79.6%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.3%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 86.3%
L
Loose-Alloy
Entry 50¢·13.9 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
77.2%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $7 · WR 77.2%
P
PollyForge
Entry 13¢·10.7 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $1 · WR 84.8%
Smart Whale Trades
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