Politics2 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-04 House election by 25%-30%?
YES Price
16¢
16% implied
NO Price
84¢
84% implied
Volume
$3.3K
226 trades
Smart Whales
8
of 70 traders
UT-04 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $30.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs7 NO
13%88%
88% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 6% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $97 is directional: YES $6·NO $91YES Team
Total Invested
$6
Avg Win Rate
74.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$0(-7.1%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$243
Avg Win Rate
74.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$49(+20.2%)
Whales
7
A
Anjun◆Proven🥇
Entry 82¢·111 shares
Invested
$91
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $91 · WR 58.6%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 59¢·114.1 shares
Invested
$67
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $67 · WR 88.0%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 86¢·40 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $34 · WR 72.0%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 84¢·38.1 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $32 · WR 88.7%
G
god83743894
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $10 · WR 86.1%
N
northdrawer
Entry 66¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
87.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $7 · WR 87.8%
P
PollyForge
Entry 20¢·10.7 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $2 · WR 84.8%
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