Politics2 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-04 House election by 40%-45%?
YES Price
11¢
11% implied
NO Price
89¢
89% implied
Volume
$3.3K
177 trades
Smart Whales
9
of 52 traders
UT-04 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $30.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs7 NO
22%78%
78% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $14 is directional: YES $14·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$14
Avg Win Rate
74.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$2(+12.2%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$215
Avg Win Rate
85.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$56(+26.0%)
Whales
7
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 81¢·83.6 shares
Invested
$68
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $68 · WR 88.0%
G
graynotebook19🥈
Entry 72¢·86 shares
Invested
$62
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $62 · WR 89.2%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 61¢·52.9 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $32 · WR 79.6%
M
melchior1248
Entry 95¢·20 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
69.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $19 · WR 69.7%
R
Revolving-Stimulus-Pride
Entry 50¢·36 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $18 · WR 87.6%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $10 · WR 87.1%
B
balthazar
Entry 94¢·6.2 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $6 · WR 72.0%
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