Politics2 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-04 House election by 35%-40%?
YES Price
4¢
4% implied
NO Price
96¢
96% implied
Volume
$4.6K
178 trades
Smart Whales
9
of 66 traders
UT-04 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $30.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs8 NO
11%89%
89% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $9 is directional: YES $9·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$9
Avg Win Rate
74.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$2(-27.4%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$218
Avg Win Rate
84.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$106(+48.9%)
Whales
8
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 67¢·106.9 shares
Invested
$72
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$31
+$31INV $72 · WR 88.0%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 65¢·60 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $39 · WR 72.0%
H
haveagoodday🥉
Entry 50¢·76 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
+$35
+$35INV $38 · WR 87.1%
R
Revolving-Stimulus-Pride
Entry 91¢·30 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $27 · WR 87.6%
N
northdrawer
Entry 91¢·20 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
87.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $18 · WR 87.8%
E
e46m3
Entry 96¢·12.8 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $12 · WR 79.6%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 88.9%
P
PollyForge
Entry 5¢·10.7 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $1 · WR 84.8%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 657ms