Politics2 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-04 House election by 20%-25%?
YES Price
26¢
26% implied
NO Price
74¢
74% implied
Volume
$4.2K
245 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 87 traders
UT-04 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $30.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs9 NO
10%90%
90% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $95 is directional: YES $0·NO $95YES Team
Total Invested
$30
Avg Win Rate
55.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$20(-65.7%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$307
Avg Win Rate
84.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$17(+5.6%)
Whales
9
A
0xa24d776f...🥇
Entry 78¢·122.5 shares
Invested
$95
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $95 · WR 88.9%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 60¢·103.2 shares
Invested
$62
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $62 · WR 88.0%
N
northdrawer🥉
Entry 63¢·76 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
87.8%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $48 · WR 87.8%
M
melchior1248
Entry 74¢·40 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
69.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $30 · WR 69.7%
E
e46m3
Entry 55¢·50.1 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $28 · WR 79.6%
B
balthazar
Entry 77¢·20 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $15 · WR 72.0%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 75¢·20 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $15 · WR 89.2%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.3%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $10 · WR 88.3%
P
PollyForge
Entry 81¢·5.4 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $4 · WR 84.8%
Smart Whale Trades
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