Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-04 House election by 0%-5%?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$879
61 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 45 traders
OR-04 House Election Margin of Victory
9 MARKETS · $37.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs11 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 2¢
YES 8%NO 92%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 2¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $0 is directional: YES $0·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$0
Avg Win Rate
71.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$1(+480.9%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$146
Avg Win Rate
86.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$18(+12.1%)
Whales
11
G
graynotebook19🥇
Entry 92¢·45 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $41 · WR 89.0%
S
smallreceipt🥈
Entry 86¢·40 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $34 · WR 88.6%
G
godblessme2026🥉
Entry 99¢·20 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $20 · WR 87.9%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 99¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 86.1%
V
Vacant-Shape
Entry 74¢·12.1 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
78.8%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $9 · WR 78.8%
N
northdrawer
Entry 72¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $7 · WR 87.5%
C
Chubby-Sideburns-Appetizer
Entry 72¢·9.6 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
81.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $7 · WR 81.9%
S
Sandy-Archaeologist
Entry 86¢·6.2 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 87.6%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 86¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
84.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 84.0%
E
e46m3
Entry 86¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 79.2%
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