Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-04 House election by 10%-15%?
YES Price
47¢
47% implied
NO Price
53¢
53% implied
Volume
$4.7K
164 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 84 traders
OR-04 House Election Margin of Victory
9 MARKETS · $37.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs9 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 47¢
YES 31%NO 69%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 47¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $32 is directional: YES $32·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$67
Avg Win Rate
63.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$82(+120.9%)
Whales
4
B
Baggy-Forehead-Consistency🥇
Entry 34¢·94.2 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $32 · WR 65.9%
T
thanksforplayin🥈
Entry 34¢·59.4 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $20 · WR 55.9%
S
sweetj🥉
Entry 12¢·99.5 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
+$34
+$34INV $12 · WR 71.3%
F
fkpa
Entry 5¢·60 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $3 · WR 59.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$144
Avg Win Rate
86.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$59(-40.8%)
Whales
9
Q
quietparcel🥇
Entry 90¢·70 shares
Invested
$63
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
$-26
$-26INV $63 · WR 88.5%
G
godblessme2026🥈
Entry 88¢·40 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $35 · WR 87.9%
Q
qwen300.fund🥉
Entry 95¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $10 · WR 86.1%
N
Negative-Bob-Vitro
Entry 98¢·9.6 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
81.7%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $9 · WR 81.7%
E
e46m3
Entry 87¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $9 · WR 79.2%
V
Vacant-Shape
Entry 90¢·6.2 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
78.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $6 · WR 78.8%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 89¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $4 · WR 66.8%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 86¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
84.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $4 · WR 84.0%
N
northdrawer
Entry 85¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $4 · WR 87.5%
Smart Whale Trades
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