Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-04 House election by 30%-35%?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$1.7K
61 trades
Smart Whales
9
of 44 traders
OR-04 House Election Margin of Victory
9 MARKETS · $37.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs8 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 2¢
YES 11%NO 89%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 2¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $7 is directional: YES $7·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$7
Avg Win Rate
71.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$5(-77.8%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$124
Avg Win Rate
82.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$14(+10.9%)
Whales
8
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 91¢·70 shares
Invested
$64
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $64 · WR 79.2%
S
smallreceipt🥈
Entry 98¢·20 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $20 · WR 88.6%
T
Thorny-Parachute-Philanthropy🥉
Entry 94¢·9.6 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
86.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $9 · WR 86.4%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 90¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 87.9%
G
god83743894
Entry 90¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 86.0%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 89¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 86.1%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 90¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 66.8%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 1¢·5 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
84.0%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $0 · WR 84.0%
Smart Whale Trades
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