Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-04 House election by 25%-30%?
YES Price
30¢
30% implied
NO Price
70¢
70% implied
Volume
$4.3K
151 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 80 traders
OR-04 House Election Margin of Victory
9 MARKETS · $37.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs10 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 30¢
YES 23%NO 77%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 30¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $13 is directional: YES $13·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$51
Avg Win Rate
66.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$3(-5.3%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$156
Avg Win Rate
84.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$28(-18.0%)
Whales
10
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 86¢·57 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $49 · WR 79.2%
N
northdrawer🥈
Entry 90¢·40 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $36 · WR 87.5%
S
smallreceipt🥉
Entry 80¢·30 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $24 · WR 88.6%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 86¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $9 · WR 88.5%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 86¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $9 · WR 89.0%
S
Shiny-Pension-Omission
Entry 86¢·9.6 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
82.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $8 · WR 82.2%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 76¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $8 · WR 86.1%
P
plainfolder
Entry 90¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 · WR 86.1%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 90¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
84.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 · WR 84.0%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 87¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $4 · WR 66.8%
Smart Whale Trades
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