Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-04 House election by 20%-25%?
YES Price
16¢
16% implied
NO Price
84¢
84% implied
Volume
$10.9K
364 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 130 traders
OR-04 House Election Margin of Victory
9 MARKETS · $37.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs10 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 16¢
YES 17%NO 83%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 16¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 48% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%
$1
$38
+1 new YES+1 new NO · 1 smart whale
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $146 is directional: YES $70·NO $75YES Team
Total Invested
$70
Avg Win Rate
61.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$71(+100.4%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$201
Avg Win Rate
79.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$63(+31.3%)
Whales
10
I
i2dt◆Proven🥇
Entry 48¢·156.3 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
73.0%
Position P&L
+$54
+$54INV $75 · WR 73.0%
T
TheArtOfTACO🥈
Entry 97¢·39.5 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
83.3%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $38 · WR 83.3%
Q
quietparcel🥉
Entry 66¢·30 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $20 · WR 88.5%
P
plainfolder
Entry 65¢·30 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $20 · WR 86.1%
E
e46m3
Entry 84¢·18 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $15 · WR 79.2%
T
Thorny-Parachute-Philanthropy
Entry 84¢·12.1 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.4%
Position P&L
—
—INV $10 · WR 86.4%
V
Vicious-Wannabe
Entry 83¢·9.6 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
81.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $8 · WR 81.1%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 75¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $8 · WR 86.1%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 84¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
—
—INV $4 · WR 66.8%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 53¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
84.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $3 · WR 84.0%
Smart Whale Trades
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