Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-04 House election by 35% or more?
YES Price
23¢
23% implied
NO Price
77¢
77% implied
Volume
$1.5K
67 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 60 traders
OR-04 House Election Margin of Victory
9 MARKETS · $37.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs11 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 23¢
YES 15%NO 85%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 23¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 32% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $21 is directional: YES $7·NO $14YES Team
Total Invested
$7
Avg Win Rate
66.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$62(+943.7%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$186
Avg Win Rate
83.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$21(-11.1%)
Whales
11
G
graynotebook19🥇
Entry 100¢·60 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $60 · WR 89.0%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 96¢·43 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $41 · WR 79.2%
P
plainfolder🥉
Entry 99¢·30 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $30 · WR 86.1%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 95¢·15 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $14 · WR 87.9%
P
Pertinent-Nudge-Rancher
Entry 98¢·12.1 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
79.8%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $12 · WR 79.8%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 99¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $10 · WR 86.1%
B
big-bird1
Entry 82¢·9.4 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $8 · WR 69.2%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 98¢·6.8 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
68.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $7 · WR 68.1%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 98¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 · WR 66.8%
L
Lucerys
Entry 1¢·18.6 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $0 · WR 87.7%
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