Politics54 days left
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-05 House election by 3% or more?
YES Price
78ยข
78% implied
NO Price
22ยข
22% implied
Volume
$7.0K
332 trades
Smart Whales
22
of 80 traders ยท 2 on both sides
MO-05 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS ยท $32.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs16 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 99% YES by dollars ยท 6 YES vs 4 NO taking a side ยท 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 77%ยท net of hedges
+10 new YES$1.4K+28 new NO$443
$77 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers โ left out of momentum
3 smart whales8 smart whales
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
$14 of $3.2K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $3.2KยทNO $32YES Team
Total Invested
$3.2K
Avg Win Rate
77.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.1K(+34.5%)
Whales
8
T
Thankful-Lookout๐ฅ
Entry 62ยขยท2,609.6 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
+$698
+$698INV $1.6K ยท WR 79.1%
M
mrworldwide๐ฅ
Entry 86ยขยท1,262.2 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
76.2%
Position P&L
+$41
+$41INV $1.1K ยท WR 76.2%
S
sweetj๐ฅ
Entry 55ยขยท685.3 shares
Invested
$375
Win Rate
76.1%
Position P&L
+$234
+$234INV $375 ยท WR 76.1%
M
mariacryptosshedged
Entry 38ยขยท205.3 sharesยทalso $7 on NO
Invested
$78
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$104
+$104INV $78 ยท WR 57.1%
D
DanRonSantishedged
Entry 51ยขยท134.1 sharesยทalso $171 on NO
Invested
$69
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $69 ยท WR 69.8%
B
big-bird1
Entry 90ยขยท10.5 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $9 ยท WR 68.2%
C
Careful-Bunch
Entry 41ยขยท13 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $5 ยท WR 55.3%
B
Bigggggggghedged
Entry 8ยขยท0.6 sharesยทalso $0 on NO
Invested
$0
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 ยท WR 85.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$739
Avg Win Rate
80.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$384(-51.9%)
Whales
16
Q
quietparcel๐ฅ
Entry 39ยขยท865 shares
Invested
$340
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
$-149
$-149INV $340 ยท WR 88.8%
D
DanRonSantis๐ฅhedged
Entry 128ยขยท134.1 sharesยทalso $69 on YES
Invested
$171
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
$-142
$-142INV $171 ยท WR 69.8%
L
laptop.recked๐ฅ
Entry 43ยขยท133.5 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-28
$-28INV $58 ยท WR 85.9%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 31ยขยท120 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $37 ยท WR 79.5%
2
0x2370243e...
Entry 50ยขยท68.4 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
74.6%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $34 ยท WR 74.6%
B
balthazar
Entry 48ยขยท70 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $34 ยท WR 71.9%
D
donthackme
Entry 12ยขยท127.4 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $16 ยท WR 87.7%
S
Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat
Entry 43ยขยท35.1 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $15 ยท WR 57.8%
J
JustClickeverywhere
Entry 14ยขยท83.5 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $12 ยท WR 79.6%
M
mariacryptosshedged
Entry 16ยขยท45 sharesยทalso $78 on YES
Invested
$7
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $7 ยท WR 57.1%
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