Politics9 days left
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-05 House election by 3% or more?
YES Price
95¢
95% implied
NO Price
5¢
5% implied
Volume
$15.7K
579 trades
Smart Whales
31
of 131 traders · 1 on both sides
MO-05 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $64.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs24 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$14 of $5.5K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $5.5K·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$5.6K
Avg Win Rate
77.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.5K(+26.3%)
Whales
8
M
mrworldwide◆Proven🥇
Entry 89¢·4,011.8 shares
Invested
$3.6K
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
+$253
+$253INV $3.6K · WR 75.8%
T
Thankful-Lookout🥈
Entry 62¢·2,525.6 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
81.3%
Position P&L
+$821
+$821INV $1.6K · WR 81.3%
S
sweetj🥉
Entry 55¢·480.3 shares
Invested
$263
Win Rate
74.9%
Position P&L
+$192
+$192INV $263 · WR 74.9%
M
mariacryptosshedged
Entry 38¢·205.3 shares·also $7 on NO
Invested
$78
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
+$116
+$116INV $78 · WR 64.9%
D
DanRonSantishedged
Entry 51¢·134.1 shares·also $171 on NO
Invested
$69
Win Rate
69.9%
Position P&L
+$59
+$59INV $69 · WR 69.9%
B
big-bird1
Entry 92¢·26.9 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $25 · WR 68.6%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 94¢·9.5 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
68.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $9 · WR 68.0%
F
Flobzzitohedged
Entry 11¢·33.8 shares·also $24 on NO
Invested
$4
Win Rate
62.4%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $4 · WR 62.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.2K
Avg Win Rate
82.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$999(-83.4%)
Whales
24
Q
quietparcel🥇
Entry 36¢·960.2 shares
Invested
$346
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-302
$-302INV $346 · WR 88.7%
B
Bigggggggg🥈
Entry 29¢·908.2 shares
Invested
$266
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-225
$-225INV $266 · WR 85.9%
D
DanRonSantis🥉hedged
Entry 128¢·134.1 shares·also $69 on YES
Invested
$171
Win Rate
69.9%
Position P&L
$-165
$-165INV $171 · WR 69.9%
D
donthackme
Entry 14¢·984 shares
Invested
$133
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-88
$-88INV $133 · WR 87.6%
G
glm4.1.fund
Entry 42¢·123.5 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-47
$-47INV $52 · WR 85.9%
N
northdrawer
Entry 15¢·340.7 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-35
$-35INV $51 · WR 87.6%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 25¢·160 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-32
$-32INV $40 · WR 79.6%
V
Vacant-Shape
Entry 50¢·68.4 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
78.5%
Position P&L
$-31
$-31INV $34 · WR 78.5%
B
balthazar
Entry 48¢·70 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-30
$-30INV $34 · WR 72.0%
F
Flobzzitohedged
Entry 99¢·23.8 shares·also $4 on YES
Invested
$24
Win Rate
62.4%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $24 · WR 62.4%
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