Politics54 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-05 House election by 9%-12%?
YES Price
4¢
4% implied
NO Price
96¢
96% implied
Volume
$3.5K
137 trades
Smart Whales
21
of 47 traders · 1 on both sides
MO-05 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $32.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs15 NO
32%68%
68% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 62% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 93%· net of hedges
+20 new YES$84+17 new NO$900
$35 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales9 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $34 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $20·NO $13YES Team
Total Invested
$21
Avg Win Rate
80.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$16(-75.4%)
Whales
7
S
sweetj🥇
Entry 1¢·887.1 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
76.1%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $8 · WR 76.1%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 8¢·70.7 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 · WR 87.7%
B
Bigggggggg🥉hedged
Entry 1¢·297.6 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$3
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 85.9%
L
laptop.recked
Entry 8¢·20 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 85.9%
R
romanew-1-new
Entry 9¢·14.6 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
65.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 65.7%
L
Lucerys
Entry 8¢·15.6 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
85.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 85.5%
E
Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian
Entry 8¢·13 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 57.7%
NO Team
Total Invested
$996
Avg Win Rate
82.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.9K(+188.6%)
Whales
15
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 50¢·435.8 shares
Invested
$218
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$201
+$201INV $218 · WR 79.5%
Q
quietparcel🥈
Entry 15¢·1,459.1 shares
Invested
$215
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
+$1188
+$1188INV $215 · WR 88.8%
P
plainfolder🥉
Entry 57¢·270 shares
Invested
$153
Win Rate
85.6%
Position P&L
+$106
+$106INV $153 · WR 85.6%
J
JustClickeverywhere
Entry 50¢·207.8 shares
Invested
$104
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$96
+$96INV $104 · WR 79.6%
B
balthazar
Entry 50¢·139.9 shares
Invested
$70
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$65
+$65INV $70 · WR 71.9%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50¢·116 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$54
+$54INV $58 · WR 89.3%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$37
+$37INV $40 · WR 88.2%
N
northdrawer
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$37
+$37INV $40 · WR 87.5%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$37
+$37INV $40 · WR 79.5%
9
0x91bac128...
Entry 50¢·68.4 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
76.6%
Position P&L
+$32
+$32INV $34 · WR 76.6%
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