Politics54 days left
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-05 House election by 0%-3%?
YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$4.1K
145 trades
Smart Whales
22
of 45 traders · 1 on both sides
MO-05 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $32.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs18 NO
22%78%
78% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 49% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%
+3 new YES$16+11 new NO$818
0 smart whales7 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $65 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $31·NO $33YES Team
Total Invested
$31
Avg Win Rate
75.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$22(-70.6%)
Whales
5
S
sweetj🥇
Entry 14¢·132 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
76.1%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $19 · WR 76.1%
C
Careful-Bunch🥈
Entry 6¢·79 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $5 · WR 55.3%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 8¢·39.2 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 87.7%
B
Bigggggggghedged
Entry 1¢·297.6 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$3
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $3 · WR 85.9%
L
Lucerys
Entry 8¢·30 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
85.5%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 85.5%
NO Team
Total Invested
$998
Avg Win Rate
82.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.4K(+137.8%)
Whales
18
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 50¢·334.8 shares
Invested
$167
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$158
+$158INV $167 · WR 79.5%
J
JustClickeverywhere🥈
Entry 50¢·284 shares
Invested
$142
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$134
+$134INV $142 · WR 79.6%
G
graynotebook19🥉
Entry 50¢·282 shares
Invested
$141
Win Rate
89.5%
Position P&L
+$133
+$133INV $141 · WR 89.5%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 54¢·215.2 shares
Invested
$115
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$94
+$94INV $115 · WR 88.2%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 11¢·823.4 shares
Invested
$93
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
+$708
+$708INV $93 · WR 88.8%
L
laptop.recked
Entry 61¢·147.1 shares
Invested
$90
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$53
+$53INV $90 · WR 85.9%
B
balthazar
Entry 96¢·70 shares
Invested
$67
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $67 · WR 71.9%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$38
+$38INV $40 · WR 79.5%
2
0x214dae48...
Entry 50¢·68.4 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
75.5%
Position P&L
+$32
+$32INV $34 · WR 75.5%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50¢·52 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $26 · WR 89.3%
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