Politics54 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-05 House election by 6%-9%?
YES Price
6¢
6% implied
NO Price
94¢
94% implied
Volume
$2.6K
134 trades
Smart Whales
22
of 48 traders · 1 on both sides
MO-05 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $32.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs19 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 70% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 96%
+7 new YES$37+15 new NO$891
1 smart whale10 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$13 of $110 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $68·NO $29YES Team
Total Invested
$74
Avg Win Rate
86.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$19(-25.4%)
Whales
4
Q
quietparcel🥇
Entry 8¢·635 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
$-28
$-28INV $49 · WR 88.8%
S
sweetj🥈
Entry 2¢·603 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
76.1%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $12 · WR 76.1%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 8¢·92.2 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $7 · WR 87.7%
B
Bigggggggghedged
Entry 2¢·344.1 shares·also $23 on NO
Invested
$6
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $6 · WR 85.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.1K
Avg Win Rate
83.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$874(+80.8%)
Whales
19
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 50¢·602.9 shares
Invested
$301
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$264
+$264INV $301 · WR 79.5%
G
graynotebook19🥈
Entry 50¢·292 shares
Invested
$146
Win Rate
89.5%
Position P&L
+$128
+$128INV $146 · WR 89.5%
S
smallreceipt🥉
Entry 50¢·270 shares
Invested
$135
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$118
+$118INV $135 · WR 89.3%
L
laptop.recked
Entry 50¢·187.1 shares
Invested
$94
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$82
+$82INV $94 · WR 85.9%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·170 shares
Invested
$85
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$74
+$74INV $85 · WR 88.2%
B
balthazar
Entry 50¢·140 shares
Invested
$70
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$61
+$61INV $70 · WR 71.9%
G
god83743894
Entry 50¢·116 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
+$51
+$51INV $58 · WR 85.0%
2
0x2a09cc54...
Entry 50¢·68.4 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
81.2%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $34 · WR 81.2%
L
Lucerys
Entry 50¢·60 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
85.5%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $30 · WR 85.5%
J
JustClickeverywhere
Entry 50¢·56.1 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $28 · WR 79.6%
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