Politics54 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-05 House election by 3%-6%?
YES Price
4¢
4% implied
NO Price
96¢
96% implied
Volume
$2.4K
139 trades
Smart Whales
21
of 46 traders · 1 on both sides
MO-05 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $32.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs16 NO
27%73%
73% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 83% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 96%
+6 new YES$34+12 new NO$781
1 smart whale8 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $76 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $62·NO $12YES Team
Total Invested
$63
Avg Win Rate
86.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$37(-59.5%)
Whales
6
Q
quietparcel🥇
Entry 8¢·573.3 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
$-33
$-33INV $44 · WR 88.8%
S
sweetj🥈
Entry 2¢·394 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
76.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $10 · WR 76.1%
B
Bigggggggg🥉hedged
Entry 1¢·297.6 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$3
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $3 · WR 85.9%
D
donthackme
Entry 8¢·33.3 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 87.7%
L
Lucerys
Entry 8¢·30 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
85.5%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 85.5%
L
laptop.recked
Entry 8¢·20 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 85.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$837
Avg Win Rate
82.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$719(+85.9%)
Whales
16
G
godblessme2026🥇
Entry 50¢·382 shares
Invested
$191
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$175
+$175INV $191 · WR 88.2%
J
JustClickeverywhere🥈
Entry 50¢·207.1 shares
Invested
$104
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$95
+$95INV $104 · WR 79.6%
G
god83743894🥉
Entry 50¢·180 shares
Invested
$90
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
+$83
+$83INV $90 · WR 85.0%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50¢·170 shares
Invested
$85
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$78
+$78INV $85 · WR 89.3%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·167.8 shares
Invested
$84
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$77
+$77INV $84 · WR 79.5%
B
balthazar
Entry 50¢·140 shares
Invested
$70
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$64
+$64INV $70 · WR 71.9%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·132 shares
Invested
$66
Win Rate
89.5%
Position P&L
+$61
+$61INV $66 · WR 89.5%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 54¢·80 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $43 · WR 79.5%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
85.6%
Position P&L
+$37
+$37INV $40 · WR 85.6%
C
Comfortable-Sandwich
Entry 90¢·20 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $18 · WR 57.5%
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