Politics54 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-05 House election by 0%-3%?
YES Price
7¢
7% implied
NO Price
93¢
93% implied
Volume
$3.5K
158 trades
Smart Whales
20
of 49 traders · 1 on both sides
MO-05 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $32.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs17 NO
19%81%
81% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 46% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 93%· net of hedges
+8 new YES$59+12 new NO$773
$2 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
1 smart whale8 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $69 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $31·NO $37YES Team
Total Invested
$31
Avg Win Rate
63.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$28(+89.0%)
Whales
4
C
Careful-Bunch🥇
Entry 3¢·710.7 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $23 · WR 55.3%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 8¢·44.2 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3 · WR 87.7%
B
Bigggggggg🥉hedged
Entry 1¢·297.6 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$3
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $3 · WR 85.9%
L
Lucerys
Entry 8¢·28.9 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
85.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 85.5%
NO Team
Total Invested
$898
Avg Win Rate
81.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.3K(+141.5%)
Whales
17
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 50¢·435.8 shares
Invested
$218
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$186
+$186INV $218 · WR 79.5%
L
laptop.recked🥈
Entry 50¢·187.1 shares
Invested
$94
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$80
+$80INV $94 · WR 85.9%
G
god83743894🥉
Entry 50¢·170 shares
Invested
$85
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
+$73
+$73INV $85 · WR 85.0%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·160 shares
Invested
$80
Win Rate
85.6%
Position P&L
+$68
+$68INV $80 · WR 85.6%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50¢·144 shares
Invested
$72
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$62
+$62INV $72 · WR 89.3%
B
balthazar
Entry 50¢·140 shares
Invested
$70
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$60
+$60INV $70 · WR 71.9%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·120 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
89.5%
Position P&L
+$51
+$51INV $60 · WR 89.5%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 8¢·715 shares
Invested
$57
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
+$606
+$606INV $57 · WR 88.8%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$34
+$34INV $40 · WR 79.5%
E
0xef45b1d5...
Entry 50¢·68.4 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
76.7%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $34 · WR 76.7%
Showing top 10 of 17
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 346ms