Geopolitics28 days left

Iran leadership change by October 31?

YES Price
2ยข
2% implied
NO Price
98ยข
98% implied
Volume
$293.0K
1,602 trades
Smart Whales
77
of 308 traders ยท 4 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

24 YESvs57 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 2% YES by dollars ยท 19 YES vs 44 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%ยท net of hedges
+24 new YES$311+64 new NO$29.3K
$276 of this was bought on both sides by the same 8 buyers โ€” left out of momentum
7 smart whales6 smart whales
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
$28 of $40.5K is hedged across different prices by 4 wallets. True directional: YES $758ยทNO $39.7K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 30% YES: Iran leadership change by October 31