CaptainCoinflip · Polymarket wallet 0xb8fe…ce76

Wallet snapshot

CaptainCoinflip has made 15,204 trades on Polymarket across 666 markets, $3.2M in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (64%) and politics (12%). On 632 resolved markets the win rate is 62%, lifetime P&L +$90K. It holds 19 open positions right now; the largest is No on "2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House". Last trade: Oct 17, 2026.

Largest open positions

• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseNo · $35K · 50¢ → 99¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Yes · $22K · 95¢ → 98¢
• Israel military action against Iraq by October 31, 2026?No · $557 · 92¢ → 75¢
• Will Israel election happen as scheduled?No · $452 · 10¢ → 11¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseYes · $333 · 50¢ → 1¢
• Will a 7.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?Yes · $221 · 100¢ → 100¢
• Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?Yes · $203 · 7¢ → 8¢
• Iran leadership change by October 31?Yes · $158 · 2¢ → 2¢
• Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by October 31, 2026?Yes · $116 · 6¢ → 7¢
• Israeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31?Yes · $113 · 9¢ → 10¢

Latest closed positions

• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of October 12 2026?Yes · +$66 · Oct 17, 2026
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16?Yes · +$86 · Oct 16, 2026
• Will the biggest earthquake on October 15, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?Yes · +$0 · Oct 16, 2026
• Will the biggest earthquake on October 15, 2026 be under 5.3?No · -$6 · Oct 16, 2026
• Will the biggest earthquake on October 15, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4?No · -$10 · Oct 16, 2026
• Israel military action against Iraq by October 31, 2026?Yes · +$58 · Oct 16, 2026
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.