455 days left
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
YES Price
19ยข
19% implied
NO Price
81ยข
81% implied
Volume
$151.6K
2,909 trades
Smart Whales
88
of 337 traders ยท 2 on both sides
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)
10 MARKETS ยท $1.17M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
37 YESvs53 NO
41%59%
59% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 85% YES by dollars ยท 17 YES vs 8 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 84%ยท net of hedges
+23 new YES$4.1K+32 new NO$9.5K
$5.7K of this was bought on both sides by the same 17 buyers โ left out of momentum
1 smart whale4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
$44 of $2.0K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $1.6KยทNO $289YES Team
Total Invested
$3.0K
Avg Win Rate
66.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$721(-24.4%)
Whales
37
D
Dragontree๐ฅhedged
Entry 82ยขยท1,274.8 sharesยทalso $344 on NO
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
$-814
$-814INV $1.0K ยท WR 67.5%
D
DancewithRisk๐ฅ
Entry 18ยขยท4,912.1 shares
Invested
$892
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $892 ยท WR 66.5%
B
balthazar๐ฅ
Entry 15ยขยท1,583.4 shares
Invested
$238
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$55
+$55INV $238 ยท WR 72.1%
A
AnjunโProven
Entry 19ยขยท908.7 shares
Invested
$172
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $172 ยท WR 58.8%
C
Comfortable-Sandwich
Entry 18ยขยท595 shares
Invested
$106
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $106 ยท WR 59.2%
D
DEGENKHANโProven
Entry 19ยขยท467.7 shares
Invested
$89
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $89 ยท WR 66.7%
T
Tenebrus7โProven
Entry 15ยขยท191.1 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $29 ยท WR 74.2%
M
molodoyyโProven
Entry 18ยขยท150 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
63.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $26 ยท WR 63.5%
A
Affectionate-Mongerhedged
Entry 17ยขยท129.8 sharesยทalso $100 on NO
Invested
$22
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $22 ยท WR 79.5%
D
delphilo
Entry 18ยขยท117.6 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $21 ยท WR 56.1%
Showing top 10 of 37
NO Team
Total Invested
$14.2K
Avg Win Rate
84.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.9K(+20.8%)
Whales
53
G
glm404.fund๐ฅ
Entry 65ยขยท5,580 shares
Invested
$3.6K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$935
+$935INV $3.6K ยท WR 85.8%
E
e46m3๐ฅ
Entry 77ยขยท1,366.1 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
+$63
+$63INV $1.1K ยท WR 79.3%
L
Lucerys๐ฅ
Entry 81ยขยท1,288.8 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $1.0K ยท WR 87.0%
G
god83743894
Entry 56ยขยท1,803.4 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
85.6%
Position P&L
+$460
+$460INV $1.0K ยท WR 85.6%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 58ยขยท1,389.5 shares
Invested
$808
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$324
+$324INV $808 ยท WR 89.0%
N
Novus0rdoSeclorum
Entry 78ยขยท974.3 shares
Invested
$757
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
+$37
+$37INV $757 ยท WR 83.8%
G
GingerMcKenna
Entry 79ยขยท901 shares
Invested
$712
Win Rate
85.1%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $712 ยท WR 85.1%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 84ยขยท729.3 shares
Invested
$610
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $610 ยท WR 88.1%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 82ยขยท527.7 shares
Invested
$430
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $430 ยท WR 89.3%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 79ยขยท497.5 shares
Invested
$394
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $394 ยท WR 88.1%
Showing top 10 of 53
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