454 days left
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
YES Price
24ยข
24% implied
NO Price
76ยข
76% implied
Volume
$164.1K
2,993 trades
Smart Whales
105
of 412 traders ยท 2 on both sides
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)
10 MARKETS ยท $1.18M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
46 YESvs61 NO
43%57%
57% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 53% YES by dollars ยท 21 YES vs 13 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 77%ยท net of hedges
+12 new YES$1.5K+14 new NO$4.5K
$395 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers โ left out of momentum
2 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
$291 of $7.8K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $4.0KยทNO $3.6KYES Team
Total Invested
$18.4K
Avg Win Rate
64.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$8.1K(-44.2%)
Whales
46
D
DancewithRisk๐ฅhedged
Entry 81ยขยท16,079.1 sharesยทalso $4.0K on NO
Invested
$13.0K
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
$-9188
$-9188INV $13.0K ยท WR 66.5%
C
Contentious-DinnerdateโProven๐ฅ
Entry 17ยขยท17,370 shares
Invested
$3.0K
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$1111
+$1111INV $3.0K ยท WR 56.1%
D
Dragontree๐ฅhedged
Entry 99ยขยท766.5 sharesยทalso $526 on NO
Invested
$755
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
$-575
$-575INV $755 ยท WR 67.5%
S
Saldivva
Entry 15ยขยท2,028.1 shares
Invested
$305
Win Rate
63.0%
Position P&L
+$172
+$172INV $305 ยท WR 63.0%
B
balthazar
Entry 13ยขยท1,509.3 shares
Invested
$202
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$152
+$152INV $202 ยท WR 72.1%
T
TruongMyLan
Entry 15ยขยท861.6 shares
Invested
$128
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
+$75
+$75INV $128 ยท WR 59.2%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedhedged
Entry 24ยขยท483.6 sharesยทalso $354 on NO
Invested
$115
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $115 ยท WR 55.3%
C
Comfortable-Sandwich
Entry 16ยขยท598.4 shares
Invested
$98
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
+$43
+$43INV $98 ยท WR 59.2%
V
vimtodcsโProven
Entry 14ยขยท383.2 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$35
+$35INV $55 ยท WR 86.0%
D
DEGENKHANโProven
Entry 22ยขยท208 shares
Invested
$46
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $46 ยท WR 66.7%
Showing top 10 of 46
NO Team
Total Invested
$25.3K
Avg Win Rate
77.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$9.4K(+37.1%)
Whales
61
D
DancewithRisk๐ฅhedged
Entry 35ยขยท11,253.6 sharesยทalso $13.0K on YES
Invested
$4.0K
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
+$4647
+$4647INV $4.0K ยท WR 66.5%
G
glm404.fund๐ฅ
Entry 56ยขยท6,793.9 shares
Invested
$3.8K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$1386
+$1386INV $3.8K ยท WR 85.8%
B
Bigggggggg๐ฅ
Entry 39ยขยท6,365.2 shares
Invested
$2.5K
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$2362
+$2362INV $2.5K ยท WR 85.7%
D
DerDonโProven
Entry 77ยขยท2,620.6 shares
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2.0K ยท WR 56.6%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 53ยขยท2,615.5 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$621
+$621INV $1.4K ยท WR 89.0%
E
e46m3
Entry 80ยขยท1,505.5 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
$-49
$-49INV $1.2K ยท WR 79.3%
L
Lucerys
Entry 77ยขยท1,299.1 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $1.0K ยท WR 87.0%
N
Novus0rdoSeclorum
Entry 84ยขยท1,064.7 shares
Invested
$899
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
$-84
$-84INV $899 ยท WR 83.8%
A
AnjunโProven
Entry 78ยขยท1,063.3 shares
Invested
$829
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $829 ยท WR 58.8%
G
GingerMcKenna
Entry 57ยขยท1,408.4 shares
Invested
$800
Win Rate
85.1%
Position P&L
+$277
+$277INV $800 ยท WR 85.1%
Showing top 10 of 61
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