455 days left
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?
YES Price
2ยข
2% implied
NO Price
98ยข
98% implied
Volume
$70.9K
1,983 trades
Smart Whales
81
of 238 traders ยท 2 on both sides
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)
10 MARKETS ยท $1.17M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
27 YESvs56 NO
33%68%
68% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 23% YES by dollars ยท 13 YES vs 9 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h โ no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
$4 of $1.8K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $420ยทNO $1.4KYES Team
Total Invested
$950
Avg Win Rate
79.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$755(-79.5%)
Whales
27
J
jcsberger๐ฅhedged
Entry 93ยขยท479 sharesยทalso $15 on NO
Invested
$446
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-439
$-439INV $446 ยท WR 85.7%
X
x26โProven๐ฅ
Entry 4ยขยท2,509.6 shares
Invested
$104
Win Rate
77.6%
Position P&L
$-66
$-66INV $104 ยท WR 77.6%
V
vinii๐ฅ
Entry 7ยขยท1,156.4 shares
Invested
$86
Win Rate
65.7%
Position P&L
$-68
$-68INV $86 ยท WR 65.7%
M
moonthat
Entry 9ยขยท705.8 shares
Invested
$63
Win Rate
92.9%
Position P&L
$-52
$-52INV $63 ยท WR 92.9%
S
Saldivva
Entry 7ยขยท837.8 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
63.0%
Position P&L
$-42
$-42INV $55 ยท WR 63.0%
C
Comfortable-Sandwich
Entry 4ยขยท636 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $28 ยท WR 59.2%
R
rainbowlilies
Entry 6ยขยท400 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
84.9%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $22 ยท WR 84.9%
B
balthazar
Entry 2ยขยท938.3 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $20 ยท WR 72.1%
T
TruongMyLan
Entry 5ยขยท310 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $17 ยท WR 59.2%
B
BAO95889
Entry 50ยขยท27.6 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $14 ยท WR 56.0%
Showing top 10 of 27
NO Team
Total Invested
$18.8K
Avg Win Rate
83.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$12.4K(+65.8%)
Whales
56
G
glm404.fund๐ฅ
Entry 53ยขยท7,335.5 shares
Invested
$3.9K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$3301
+$3301INV $3.9K ยท WR 85.8%
B
Bigggggggg๐ฅ
Entry 41ยขยท8,017.4 shares
Invested
$3.3K
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$4602
+$4602INV $3.3K ยท WR 85.7%
L
Lucerys๐ฅ
Entry 69ยขยท1,898.6 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
+$559
+$559INV $1.3K ยท WR 87.0%
P
plainfolder
Entry 55ยขยท2,339 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$1005
+$1005INV $1.3K ยท WR 85.9%
E
e46m3
Entry 61ยขยท1,559.7 shares
Invested
$949
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
+$587
+$587INV $949 ยท WR 79.3%
R
Rumpelstiltskin
Entry 93ยขยท1,000 shares
Invested
$929
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$56
+$56INV $929 ยท WR 57.1%
N
Novus0rdoSeclorum
Entry 55ยขยท1,436.7 shares
Invested
$792
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
+$622
+$622INV $792 ยท WR 83.8%
G
GingerMcKenna
Entry 51ยขยท1,363.4 shares
Invested
$695
Win Rate
85.1%
Position P&L
+$647
+$647INV $695 ยท WR 85.1%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 94ยขยท513 shares
Invested
$482
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $482 ยท WR 88.1%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 51ยขยท912.4 shares
Invested
$463
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$435
+$435INV $463 ยท WR 88.1%
Showing top 10 of 56
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 342ms